Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000036
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000042
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000050
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000058
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000067
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000075
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000088
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000039 0.000104
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000041 0.000117
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045 0.000136
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000047 0.000150
2025-07-13 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000050 0.000174
2025-07-20 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000056 0.000208
2025-07-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000060 0.000242
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000066 0.000288
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000071 0.000336
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000024 0.000077 0.000398